MANIFOLD
Which company has the best LLM at the end of 2026? (Artificial analysis leaderboard)
9
Ṁ300Ṁ398
Dec 31
32%
Google
30%
Anthropic
15%
OpenAI
5%
xAI
5%
Other
1.8%
DeepSeek
1.8%
Meta
1.8%
Mistral AI
1.8%
Alibaba
1.8%
Moonshot AI
1.8%
MiniMax
1.8%
Z.ai

Resolution criteria

This market resolves based on the Artificial Analysis LLM Leaderboard, which ranks the performance of AI models across key metrics including intelligence, price, performance and speed. The company with the highest-ranked model on the leaderboard as of December 31, 2026 wins. Resolution will be determined by checking https://artificialanalysis.ai/leaderboards/models date.

Background

As of December 2025, Gemini 3 Pro from Google is consolidating its position as the global leader, while Claude Opus 4.5 and GPT-5.2 are competing on coding and reasoning. DeepSeek V3.2 is reshuffling the economic landscape with unbeatable costs.

Market context
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