Will @firstuserhere be in the top 4 of the Top creators leaderboard at any point in 2023? ($1k subsidy)
24
1.4kṀ46k
resolved Jan 1
Resolved
NO

If the leaderboard is abolished, then an unofficial ranking will be done.

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firstuserhere boughtṀ14,208YES

@BTE Yeah, grossly overcondient and congrats to @MarcusAbramovitch for winning this one

@firstuserhere I put up a large order at 60%. I dare you to take it. I think it's about fair odds. Take some motivation

predictedYES

@MarcusAbramovitch Sure, appreciate it.

predictedNO

@firstuserhere Just thought of this but I'm assuming you aren't going to perform a manipulation where you get a bunch of alts to bet on your markets to inflate the number

@MarcusAbramovitch No, just going to make markets. two people above me are inactive (and one more is almost inactive) and I should overtake them this month.

predictedNO

@firstuserhere I agree. I do think it will be close to pass @jack

predictedNO

@firstuserhere good luck

@MarcusAbramovitch You made a big bet considering you think it’s not unlikely to happen. Though I can’t understand why you both think @firstuserhere can catch Jack unless Jack completely stops making new markets for the rest of 2023. I am getting about 4500/month at the currently and that is A LOT. FUH would have to make 500+ markets to even come close. What am I missing??

predictedYES

@BTE Why would I need to make that many markets? a few good markets can do the trick. Maybe its a bad bet at these odds with the time remaining, didnt really do the calculations here

@firstuserhere I put up 2k No at 60% (and 65%) if you would like more incentive :)

predictedYES

@RobertCousineau no, i'm happy with how big the bet currently is, will re-evaluate in a few weeks :)))

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