What do you think will be GPT-5's "hook"?
41
1.9kṀ17162031
72%
Very large context window, or another way to give the model long-term memory
64%
Audio Modality
56%
capable of online learning
55%
Personalized to you, the user
45%
Online learning of specialized agents(finetuning, PEFTs, etc.)
40%
Operates autonomously with instructions from you
38%
Exact-query of training data or knowledge databases(similar to Google RETRO)
35%
Video Modality
34%
(Near) real-time update of training data (data delay is within 6 months and is kept updated)
31%
New Neural Network Architecture
25%
Faster speed(smaller model, architecture improvements, mixture of experts keeping most parameters unused during inference, etc.)
24%
Seed option to create the question
21%
Acts autonomously
19%
Designed to inference cheaper than GPT-4(price must be lower)
19%
Has a catchier name
Add your predictions. I will not trade heavily (i may make small predictions with 1 mana for myself) because my subjective judgement might come into play.
Resolves YES to those that are more or less correct (resolves according to the spirit) or to 50% (if technically true but not in spirit) or to NO (if not true).
All predictions will be evaluated upon a release, if there ever is one.
Do not submit spam or irrelevant options, those will be N/A'd
Inspired by this tweet (by @Mira )
If no GPT-5 is released this decade, the market will be N/A'd. You can trade on whether that will happen here:
This question is managed and resolved by Manifold.
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