Add your predictions. I will not trade heavily (i may make small predictions with 1 mana for myself) because my subjective judgement might come into play.
Resolves YES to those that are more or less correct (resolves according to the spirit) or to 50% (if technically true but not in spirit) or to NO (if not true).
All predictions will be evaluated upon a release, if there ever is one.
Do not submit spam or irrelevant options, those will be N/A'd
Inspired by this tweet (by @Mira )
If no GPT-5 is released this decade, the market will be N/A'd. You can trade on whether that will happen here:
WTF why do Google scientists not understand how big O notation works? I've seen people misuse big O notation like this in every day use but in a paper this is too much
To clarify, this needs to be something significantly different. Something like Flash-attention that's just a faster version of transformers won't count. It doesn't necessarily need to not contain transformers, but it needs to be a bigger change than an improvement to a single aspect of the architecture or a better implementation