By 2030, will large language models still be at the peak of AI? [DRAFT]

Will a Large Language Model save a human life through medical advice by the end of 2025?

End of pre-training era for language models: Will an LM fine-tune for more FLOPs than it is pre-trained for, before 2026

Will a Large Language Model be listed as an author on a peer-reviewed paper by the end of 2025?

Will any language model trained without large number arithmetic be able to generalize to large number arithmetic by 2026?

Will there be an AI language model that strongly surpasses ChatGPT and other OpenAI models before the end of 2025?

Will Scaling Laws for Neural Language Model continue to hold till the end of 2026?

Will Scaling Laws for Neural Language Model continue to hold till the end of 2027?

In 2030, will there be more than 10 $5bn companies that are some form of large language model focused on a specific task. ie not Microsoft, not OpenAI,

Will a language model that runs locally on a consumer cellphone beat GPT4 by EOY 2026?