In 2030, will there be more than 10 $5bn companies that are some form of large language model focused on a specific task. ie not Microsoft, not OpenAI,
6
150Ṁ125
2030
62%
chance

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What about a company focused on an LLM when it was founded, grows quickly, but has branched out to a bunch of other stuff by the time it's worth $5bn? (Follow-ups: What if the LLM part of the company is valued at more than $5bn on its own? What if an LLM company gets bought by Oracle for $4.9bn but then clearly grows to be worth more?)

I bet if you give me between an hour and 6 months I will be able to bring you 5. Another good question would be if there are 10 between now and 2030, will there still be 10 in 2030?

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