Will Scaling Laws for Neural Language Model continue to hold till the end of 2027?
18
1kṀ10142028
67%
chance
1H
6H
1D
1W
1M
ALL
Chinchilla presented The Scaling Laws
I'll not hold more than 10 shares in this market, though may make small token bets once in a while.
This question is managed and resolved by Manifold.
Get 
1,000 to start trading!
1,000People are also trading
Related questions
Will Scaling Laws for Neural Language Model continue to hold till the end of 2026?
82% chance
Will Transformer based architectures still be SOTA for language modelling by 2026?
80% chance
Will any 10 trillion+ parameter language model that follows instructions be released to the public before 2026?
40% chance
Will a Large Language Model be listed as an author on a peer-reviewed paper by the end of 2025?
34% chance
By 2030, will large language models still be at the peak of AI? [DRAFT]
25% chance
Will there be an AI language model that strongly surpasses ChatGPT and other OpenAI models before the end of 2025?
44% chance
Will any language model trained without large number arithmetic be able to generalize to large number arithmetic by 2026?
46% chance
Will a Large Language Model save a human life through medical advice by the end of 2025?
92% chance
End of pre-training era for language models: Will an LM fine-tune for more FLOPs than it is pre-trained for, before 2026
44% chance
Limits on AI model size by 2026?
15% chance