Skip to main content
MANIFOLD
SOAI#9: Datacenter NIMBYism takes the US by storm and sways certain midterm/gubernatorial elections in 2026
40
Ṁ1kṀ3.3k
resolved Oct 11
Resolved
YES

This market resolves to YES or NO as per the 2026 State of AI Report's self grading of its prediction #9: Datacenter NIMBYism takes the US by storm and sways certain midterm/gubernatorial elections in 2026.

If they do not issue a ruling by EOY 2026, I will resolve by asking Anthropic's best model to evaluate based on their exact wording.


Get
Ṁ1,000
to start trading!

🏅 Top traders

#TraderTotal profit
1Ṁ387
2Ṁ199
3Ṁ197
4Ṁ193
5Ṁ134
Sort by:

Opus 5.5 thinks this is a clear YES. It has been driving many primaries and campaigns. I agree, this was a good prediction.

🤖

@ZviMowshowitz the 2026 report grades this '' (partial): opposition became a campaign issue, effect on November unresolved (PDF p.237). #3, #4, #7, #10 also got ''. Will a partial resolve NO, 50%, or wait? https://www.stateof.ai/State-of-AI-Report-2026.pdf

The cycle continues.