SOAI#9: Datacenter NIMBYism takes the US by storm and sways certain midterm/gubernatorial elections in 2026
40
Ṁ1kṀ3.3kresolved Oct 11
Resolved
YES1H
6H
1D
1W
1M
ALL
This market resolves to YES or NO as per the 2026 State of AI Report's self grading of its prediction #9: Datacenter NIMBYism takes the US by storm and sways certain midterm/gubernatorial elections in 2026.
If they do not issue a ruling by EOY 2026, I will resolve by asking Anthropic's best model to evaluate based on their exact wording.

This question is managed and resolved by Manifold.
Get
1,000 to start trading!
🏅 Top traders
| # | Trader | Total profit |
|---|---|---|
| 1 | Ṁ387 | |
| 2 | Ṁ199 | |
| 3 | Ṁ197 | |
| 4 | Ṁ193 | |
| 5 | Ṁ134 |
Sort by:
@ZviMowshowitz the 2026 report grades this '' (partial): opposition became a campaign issue, effect on November unresolved (PDF p.237). #3, #4, #7, #10 also got ''. Will a partial resolve NO, 50%, or wait? https://www.stateof.ai/State-of-AI-Report-2026.pdf
The cycle continues.
People are also trading
Related questions
What will happen in the 2026 US Midterm Elections (add your own!)
Will the YIMBY/NIMBY divide line up with political affiliation in the USA before 2027?
18% chance
Will a second US state impose a statewide pause on new data centers in 2026?
20% chance
8. AI a central issue in the 2026 U.S. midterms. Politics get complex, especially regarding job loss [See full title!]
63% chance
what states will have datacenter bans at the end of 2026?
Will at least one U.S. state enact a binding statewide moratorium on new hyperscale data centers before 2027?
20% chance
Will building datacenters in the US be much more difficult by mid-2029?
27% chance
Will there be a YIMBY governor of a US state by 2027?
95% chance
Outcome of the 2026 US Midterm election
Will an AI datacenter in the US be sabotaged before 2029?
62% chance