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MANIFOLD
Will any US state enact a statewide moratorium on large data centres before January 1, 2028?
2
Ṁ100Ṁ30
2027
37%
chance

Resolves YES if any US state signs into law (or lets become law without a signature) a statewide moratorium or pause on new large data centres before January 1, 2028. Local or county moratoriums do not count. Maine's legislature passed one in April 2026, but the governor vetoed it, so it does not count. Background: in September 2026 I asked an AI for its ten-year forecast, best case and worst case. Its 2027 worst-case list included "Data centre power and water demands spark local backlash and grid strain." I am making a market for each checkable point so the forecast can be scored. The full forecast and monthly scorecard are free: The Forecast Ledger: 2027, checked October 30, 2026

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