Will Israel claim that Oct 7 hostages are being held in West Bank in 2024?
➕
Plus
23
Ṁ5346
Jan 1
7%
chance

Resolves "Yes" if at any point in 2024, a member of the Israeli government claims that some of the hostages taken by Hamas on October 7, 2023 are now being held in the West Bank

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I bet no, but I'm not too confident. Seems they aren't really looking for excuses. They barely bring up the hostages still in Gaza part of the Palestinian territories anymore. I can picture a scenario where Israel starts to get a lot of negative attention for the raids in the West Bank, and some of the more extreme members of the current government will make the claim.

bought Ṁ10 NO

Huh? Are we betting on whether the Israeli government says random things?

I mean, not crazy, but 32% seems high

@YonatanCale the implication is that Israel will use it as an excuse to extend the "genocide" to the west bamk

@Shai Just seems like a strange (and extra obviously false) excuse

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