Will any of the remaining hostages taken by Hamas on October 7 return home alive before the end of 2024?
Basic
28
แน2.0kDec 31
74%
chance
1D
1W
1M
ALL
Resolves YES if any additional live hostages (after September 1) are rescued, escape, or released from Hamas captivity. If only bodies are recovered, market resolves NO.
Only includes hostages taken by Hamas as part of the October 7 2023 attack. Any hostages taken before or after this date do not count.
Market will resolve at 11:59PM on December 31, 2024.
EDIT: If no hostaged have been rescued, the market will end at 11:59 PM on December 31, 2024. If live hostages are reported rescued, escaped, or released, I will resolve the market after seeing it reported by at least 2 reputable news agencies as confirmed by the IDF.
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