Will Israel annex a part of Gaza in the next 3 years (Nov 17 2027)?

1kṀ3839

2027

41%

chance

ALL

The market resolves YES if through some official channel, Israel proclaims its sovereignty over territory of Gaza hitherto outside its domain, before Nov 17 2027.

Resolves NO on Nov 17 2027 otherwise.

/Bayesian/will-israel-annex-a-part-of-gaza-in (this market)

Israel

Arab-Israeli Conflict

Wars

Israel-Hamas Conflict

Israeli Politics

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