Will it be discovered by the end of the decade that in 2022 major AGI progress was made but it was kept secret for more than two years to maximize its usefulness? | Manifold

Will it be discovered by the end of the decade that in 2022 major AGI progress was made but it was kept secret for more than two years to maximize its usefulness?

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2030

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Many argue that if a company developed an AGI, they would have good reason to keep it a secret.

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assuming major agi progress means specifically 'something significantly more powerful than curent techniques, in a way that is like AGI' as opposed to 'google / baidu / a trading firm has a secret transformer model that is 30% better on some benchmarks that they didn't tell anyone about'

@jacksonpolack Yes

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