Will we get AGI before 2028?
130
1.4kṀ25k2027
34%
chance
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AGI defined as transformative, at least human-level, but potentially superhuman AI, capable of doing at least any cognitive task humans can do, at least at human level.
Related to: https://manifold.markets/MarioCannistra/will-we-get-agi-before-2027
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