Will we get AGI before 2029?
Basic
15
950
2028
34%
chance

AGI defined as transformative, at least human-level, but potentially superhuman AI, capable of doing at least any cognitive task humans can do, at least at human level.

Related to: https://manifold.markets/MarioCannistra/will-we-get-agi-before-2028

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What is a human level? Like the median human?