In what year will it first become possible to order a Tesla Optimus?
9
135Ṁ23432034
1H
6H
1D
1W
1M
ALL
0.4%
2024
0.6%
2025
99%
Resolution Clarifications:
Product rename does not change the outcome, i.e. the bot's name does not need to be "Optimus" for a positive resolution of a specific year
"Other" = Cancellation of the Optimus Program, Insolvency, Significant Change of Design (Humanoid -> 4-legged does not count, humanoid -> 6DoF Arm counts as "Other"
This question is managed and resolved by Manifold.
Market context
Get 
1,000 to start trading!
1,000People are also trading
Related questions
Will there be over 10,000 Optimus robots working at Tesla before 2027?
15% chance
In what year will Tesla's robotaxi become commercially operational in the US?
Will Tesla robotaxies hit the market before Jan 1 2027?
60% chance
In what year will Tesla start mass production of its Optimus Bot
Will it be possible to buy Tesla Optimus humanoid robot before 2030?
26% chance
What year will the 1,000,000th Tesla Optimus Humanoid Robot be built?
Will Tesla Optimus Gen-2 be available for *Sale* General Availability (GA) by 2027?
60% chance
Will Tesla Optimus Gen-2 be available for *Sale* General Availability (GA) by 2026?
12% chance
When will Tesla have Optimus walking around in retail stores?
How much would the Tesla Optimus Robot cost to buy if it went into production?