Will Ukraine regain control of Kherson by the end of 2022?
Will Ukraine regain control of Kherson by the end of 2022?
185
1.4kṀ53k
resolved Nov 19
Resolved
YES

Resolves YES if https://www.metaculus.com/questions/10850/date-of-ukrainian-liberation-of-kherson/ answer is in 2022.

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2y

Why hasn’t this resolved yet?

predictedYES 2y

@Treldman It mirrors Metaculus, which has a clause, paraphrasing: “resolves 7 days after a positive announcement from ISW or similar sources”

predictedYES 2y

@yaboi69 That is a strange market to mirror because that is about a specific date of control, not control before a deadline.

2y

@BTE No, it makes perfect sense to me. Binary question is just whether the date answer is in 2022. The market description is absolutely clear.

predictedYES 2y
2y

Made a series of markets for recapture by different dates:

predictedYES 2y

Here are some more similar markets for you to bet on:

predictedYES 2y

Trade. I meant trade.

predictedYES 2y

Since this market is so popular, here is another one:

2y
Metaculus predicts 27%
predictedNO 2y

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