Will Ukraine regain control of Kherson by the end of 2022?

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185

Ṁ53k

resolved Nov 19

Resolved

YES

ALL

Resolves YES if https://www.metaculus.com/questions/10850/date-of-ukrainian-liberation-of-kherson/ answer is in 2022.

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Why hasn’t this resolved yet?

predictedYES

@Treldman It mirrors Metaculus, which has a clause, paraphrasing: “resolves 7 days after a positive announcement from ISW or similar sources”

predictedYES

@yaboi69 That is a strange market to mirror because that is about a specific date of control, not control before a deadline.

@BTE No, it makes perfect sense to me. Binary question is just whether the date answer is in 2022. The market description is absolutely clear.

predictedYES

Made a series of markets for recapture by different dates:

predictedYES

Here are some more similar markets for you to bet on:

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Trade. I meant trade.

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Since this market is so popular, here is another one:

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Metaculus predicts 27%

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