Why hasn’t this resolved yet?

@Treldman It mirrors Metaculus, which has a clause, paraphrasing: “resolves 7 days after a positive announcement from ISW or similar sources”

@yaboi69 That is a strange market to mirror because that is about a specific date of control, not control before a deadline.

@BTE No, it makes perfect sense to me. Binary question is just whether the date answer is in 2022. The market description is absolutely clear.

Made a series of markets for recapture by different dates:

Here are some more similar markets for you to bet on:

Trade. I meant trade.

Since this market is so popular, here is another one:

And another one about Lysychansk:
https://manifold.markets/Yev/will-ukraine-regain-control-of-lysy

https://www.telegraph.co.uk/world-news/2022/08/29/ukraine-launches-counter-offensive-retake-kherson-russia/