Will Ukraine regain control of Kherson by the end of 2022?
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@Treldman It mirrors Metaculus, which has a clause, paraphrasing: “resolves 7 days after a positive announcement from ISW or similar sources”
@yaboi69 That is a strange market to mirror because that is about a specific date of control, not control before a deadline.
@BTE No, it makes perfect sense to me. Binary question is just whether the date answer is in 2022. The market description is absolutely clear.
And another one about Lysychansk:
https://manifold.markets/Yev/will-ukraine-regain-control-of-lysy
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