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@AndyMartin The metaculus market on which this market seems to depend requires Ukraine to hold Kherson for seven days.
The metaculus question resolved about 10 minutes ago. Kherson is in Ukraine.
https://www.metaculus.com/questions/10850/date-of-ukrainian-liberation-of-kherson/
@brp My bad. Looks like that is a commenter trying to get admin attention to close the question.
Copied from @IvanK:
"The Russian command announced the retreat from Kherson
https://meduza-io.translate.goog/news/2022/11/09/rossiyskoe-komandovanie-ob-yavilo-ob-otstuplenii-iz-hersona?_x_tr_sl=auto&_x_tr_tl=en&_x_tr_hl=en&_x_tr_pto=wapp"
@JoshuaB Backed up by NYT reporting too: https://www.nytimes.com/live/2022/11/09/world/ukraine-war-news-russia-updates/russia-kherson-ukraine-war?smid=url-share
@CristianDobre This answer is invalid. If Ukraine never takes back Kherson, the market will resolve "not before 2024".