Will Ukraine regain control of Kherson by the end of 2022?
185
50
1.4k
resolved Nov 19
Resolved
YES

Resolves YES if https://www.metaculus.com/questions/10850/date-of-ukrainian-liberation-of-kherson/ answer is in 2022.

Multiple-choice version of this market:

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Why hasn’t this resolved yet?

predicted YES

@Treldman It mirrors Metaculus, which has a clause, paraphrasing: “resolves 7 days after a positive announcement from ISW or similar sources”

predicted YES

@yaboi69 That is a strange market to mirror because that is about a specific date of control, not control before a deadline.

@BTE No, it makes perfect sense to me. Binary question is just whether the date answer is in 2022. The market description is absolutely clear.

predicted YES
bought Ṁ200 of YES

Made a series of markets for recapture by different dates:

predicted YES

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Trade. I meant trade.

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bought Ṁ9 of YES
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