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MANIFOLD
Will I successfully get to a streak of 150?
24
Ṁ490Ṁ6.2k
resolved May 1
Resolved
NO

Resolves YES if I get it on manifold by the end of April

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predictedYES
predictedNO

Well, somehow I managed to make almost 200 by being pessimistic of another person's streak.

You can also bet on my chances of 69 prediction streak.

:(

predictedNO

Well? @Wobbles, how is it going?

@42irrationalist so far I've not lost my streak

Yes? No? How it go?

Anyone else getting into the market seeing my comment below, ignore it. Manifold has some level of streak forgiveness and you don't lose the streak if you miss 1 day i think

predictedNO

@firstuserhere

  1. but there were two days missed?

  2. I think streak forgiveness could be for the amount of mana you receive, but I can't find the doc anymore.

I might write the script using API in the next couple of days. And also create a test profile to see how streak forgiveness works.

PS: I'll plug my own streak market here: https://manifold.markets/42irrationalist/will-i-get-to-a-69-prediction-strea?r=NDJpcnJhdGlvbmFsaXN0

predictedNO

Apparently you get 1 streak forgiveness per month and I already have 2.

predictedNO

What are you at, currently?

@firstuserhere from your recent bets from all markets, i see >24 hrs gap till now, so I'm gonna buy some NO

@firstuserhere and one more day :)