Will I successfully get to a streak of 150?
24
93
แน€490
resolved May 1
Resolved
NO

Resolves YES if I get it on manifold by the end of April

Get แน€200 play money

๐Ÿ… Top traders

#NameTotal profit
1แน€725
2แน€245
3แน€199
4แน€40
5แน€29
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predicted YES
predicted NO

Well, somehow I managed to make almost 200 by being pessimistic of another person's streak.

You can also bet on my chances of 69 prediction streak.

:(

predicted NO

Well? @Wobbles, how is it going?

@42irrationalist so far I've not lost my streak

bought แน€10 of NO

Yes? No? How it go?

sold แน€405 of NO

Anyone else getting into the market seeing my comment below, ignore it. Manifold has some level of streak forgiveness and you don't lose the streak if you miss 1 day i think

predicted NO

@firstuserhere

  1. but there were two days missed?

  2. I think streak forgiveness could be for the amount of mana you receive, but I can't find the doc anymore.

I might write the script using API in the next couple of days. And also create a test profile to see how streak forgiveness works.

PS: I'll plug my own streak market here: https://manifold.markets/42irrationalist/will-i-get-to-a-69-prediction-strea?r=NDJpcnJhdGlvbmFsaXN0

predicted NO

Apparently you get 1 streak forgiveness per month and I already have 2.

predicted NO

What are you at, currently?

bought แน€10 of NO

@firstuserhere from your recent bets from all markets, i see >24 hrs gap till now, so I'm gonna buy some NO

bought แน€100 of NO

@firstuserhere and one more day :)