Will I reach an unbroken 500 day prediction streak?
➕
Plus
28
Ṁ5893
Dec 2
98%
chance

Today, I had the honor of hitting an important milestone of a prediction streak.

The question is, how far will I go? If I receive a notification regarding a successful 500 day prediction streak, resolve to YES. If I don't, for any reason, resolve to NO. As of now, I intend to reach this goal, as I see no reason to stop being an active member of Manifold, but who knows what could happen over a year from now. I may bet YES in this market for motivation, but obviously will not bet NO.

Get
Ṁ1,000
and
S3.00
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bought Ṁ1 NO

I'd bet there's a virtual non-zero chance of some catastrophic event occurring that severs your ability to interact with the internet in the remaining time of this market.

Ṁ1 on NO. Best of luck proving me wrong.

Eh, I take that back. I didn't realize the market closed that soon. I'll take my chip back.

@Quroe I believe I set the close date a little early so people couldn't trade at the very end with complete confidence. If it's too risky for your 1 Mana I suppose I understand lol

bought Ṁ1 NO

@Kraalnaxx Oh! Then the game is afoot!

50 days left...

@Kraalnaxx Still going strong?

bought Ṁ100 YES

@Mana Yep. I'd resolve NO if that wasn't the case.

What are you at now?

@Mana 443

Any updates?

bought Ṁ50 YES

Sorry, didn't see this before. This where I stand.

Broken 200 today.

predictedYES

Should have updated earlier, my streak as it stands today.

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