Resolves YES if, when this market closes, either the number of unique traders on this market is above 20 or the probability displayed is >20%, but not both. Resolves NO otherwise.
For clarity, I'll give some examples of how the market would resolve in different circumstances.
This market would resolve YES if it closes...
...with five unique traders at 50% probability.
...with 25 unique traders at 10% probability.
...with 20 unique traders at 21% probability.
...with 21 unique traders at 20% probability.
And it would resolve NO if it closes...
...with five unique traders at 10% probability.
...with 25 unique traders at 50% probability.
...with 20 unique traders at 20% probability.
...with 21 unique traders at 21% probability.
The market closes at the end of the day on June 21, 2023. Market probability is based on whatever whole number is displayed on Manifold after rounding.
๐ Top traders
| # | Name | Total profit |
|---|---|---|
| 1 | แน710 | |
| 2 | แน208 | |
| 3 | แน37 | |
| 4 | แน25 | |
| 5 | แน0 |