"The Market" 1 year: Will the average probability of this market be >50%?

25

472

แน10kแน310

2025

35%

chance

1D

1W

1M

ALL

This market will be open for about 1 year. When it closes, I will calculate the average displayed percentage (i.e., the percentage rounded to the nearest integer when it's between 2 and 98%, and rounded to the nearest tenth otherwise).

The original version of "The Market" lasted only 1 week. How will lasting a full year affect the dynamics?

Get แน600 play money

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