
Will prescribing abortion pills be a US federal felony at the end of February 2025?
29
1kṀ15kresolved Mar 3
Resolved
NO1D
1W
1M
ALL
https://twitter.com/alyssamvance/status/1734995576360443933

The spirit of this question is "will the US make getting/giving/using abortion pills inevitably involve a federal felony", so it will resolve YES even if e.g. distributing (but not prescribing) becomes a felony.
See also:
This question is managed and resolved by Manifold.
Get
1,000 to start trading!
🏅 Top traders
# | Name | Total profit |
---|---|---|
1 | Ṁ126 | |
2 | Ṁ88 | |
3 | Ṁ80 | |
4 | Ṁ43 | |
5 | Ṁ25 |
Sort by:
predictedNO
Someone pointed out that it's more interesting to ask this more as "how bad would a Trump win be on this front", so I made a couple of conditional markets:
https://manifold.markets/WilliamEhlhardt/if-trump-gets-elected-will-prescrib
https://manifold.markets/WilliamEhlhardt/if-trump-gets-elected-will-prescrib-4f892f44d041
Also, @DavidFWatson made this one: https://manifold.markets/DavidFWatson/conditional-on-republican-trifecta-7c89bb211833
Related questions
Related questions
Conditional on Republican trifecta: will prescribing abortion pills be a US federal felony at the end of December 2026?
8% chance
At the end of March 2025, will prescribing HRT be a federal felony?
1% chance
Will mifepristone become significantly restricted or illegal to prescribe for abortions across the US before 2026?
21% chance
Will any US state ban the morning after pill before the end of 2030?
70% chance
Will any doctor go to prison for performing an abortion in Texas before 2025?
4% chance
Will there be a federal law legalizing abortion nationally in the next five years?
8% chance
Will the US institute a national ban on abortion anytime before 2035?
21% chance
Will the Comstock Act be used against the shipping of abortion pills nationally before 2028?
47% chance
If Biden is elected will the Comstock laws be used to ban the shipping of abortion pills by the end of 2026
12% chance
If Trump is elected will the Comstock laws be used to ban the shipping of abortion pills by the end of 2026
53% chance