Will prescribing abortion pills be a US federal felony at the end of February 2025?
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resolved Mar 3
Resolved
NO

https://twitter.com/alyssamvance/status/1734995576360443933

The spirit of this question is "will the US make getting/giving/using abortion pills inevitably involve a federal felony", so it will resolve YES even if e.g. distributing (but not prescribing) becomes a felony.


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🇺🇸 US Politics
Abortion
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This can resolve NO now. Not sure why the UI says this market closed "an hour ago". It definitely should have closed >12h ago.

I think this is a NO. Anyone seen news to the contrary?

@WilliamEhlhardt this is definitely a no i think

predictedNO

Someone pointed out that it's more interesting to ask this more as "how bad would a Trump win be on this front", so I made a couple of conditional markets:

Also, @DavidFWatson made this one: https://manifold.markets/DavidFWatson/conditional-on-republican-trifecta-7c89bb211833

If what's actually prohibited is the distributing rather than the prescribing, will this resolve YES on spirit of the question, or NO on Exact Words

predictedNO

@MattLashofSullivan YES on spirit of the question. Description updated.

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