Conditional on Donald Trump becoming US president in 2025. Resolves N/A if Donald Trump does not become president.
The spirit of this question is "will the US make getting/giving/using hormone replacement therapy for transgender people inevitably involve a federal felony", so it will resolve YES even if e.g. distributing (but not prescribing) becomes a felony.
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I’m interested to trade on a “by end of 2025” market but I don’t think it will be quick
How is this market intended to resolve if it just becomes harder to obtain legal prescriptions?
Is this market intended to only apply to DIY cases? Keep in mind testosterone is already a scheduled drug and its distribution is already a felony, so by some metrics this should already resolve yes
How is this market intended to resolve if it just becomes harder to obtain legal prescriptions?
That's admittedly a grey area, but most likely it would resolve to NO.