Will there be a federal law banning abortion nationally within the next five years?
May 10, 2027
M$549 bet
This market resolves to YES if, by 5/9/2027, the federal government passes a law saying that abortion is banned in all 50 states. A law can qualify even if it carves out exceptions for certain subsets of women (eg those whose health are in danger). This market resolves to YES immediately after this happens, even if the law is later repealed or struck down.

M sold M$19 of NO11 days ago

without loans it is pointless, sorry

M bought M$20 of NO16 days ago

https://manifold.markets/ScottAlexander/will-there-be-a-federal-law-legaliz "Will there be a federal law legalizing abortion nationally in the next five years?" is a matching market

Enopoletus Harding 16 days ago

It won't happen, but it's far, far more likely than Roe v. Wade being codified into Federal law in five years.