Will the US institute a national ban on abortion anytime before 2035?
21
Ṁ1kṀ1.7k
2036
17%
chance
Market context
Get
Ṁ1,000
to start trading!
Sort by:
How does this resolve if it is a ban after X weeks with exceptions for various circumstances?
No; the populace won't allow it. Much, much more likely than nationwide codified Roe v. Wade, though.

@EnopoletusHarding if overturning roe v wade was so unpopular why's it so hard to replace with a law

People are also trading

Will US congress pass a law that prohibits the states from prohibiting abortion before 2050?
54% chance
Will any US state ban contraception by 2030?
22% chance
Will any US state ban the morning after pill before the end of 2030?
68% chance
Will there be a federal law banning abortion nationally within the next five years?
7% chance
Will there be a nationwide abortion ban, ever, in the US?
28% chance
Will fewer than 26 US states be restrictive on abortion by the end of 2030?
63% chance
Will any US state pass legislation banning any form of commonly-used gender-affirming medical care for adults before 2030?
91% chance
Will there be a federal law legalizing abortion nationally in the next five years?
9% chance
Will the US Congress pass a bill nationally protecting abortion during the 119th Congress (2025-27)?
2% chance
Will abortion in the first trimester (ish) have substantive federal protection in 2030?
40% chance
© Manifold Markets, Inc.•Terms•Privacy