Will self-driving cars account for more than 50% of all vehicles on the road in any country by 2025? | Manifold

Will self-driving cars account for more than 50% of all vehicles on the road in any country by 2025?

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#Self-Driving Vehicles

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Could you define “self driving car” in more detail?

SAE level 3? Level 4? What current technology counts (Waymo, Tesla Autopilot, Mercedes Drive Pilot, GM SuperCruise, …)?

@marktwse This is part of a series of AI-generated questions, so my bad for not providing better definitions. I'll use cars that have received legal approval (I won't be picky about from which country) to act at SAE level 3. This is not my area of expertise, but a quick search says this would include cars with Mercedes' drive pilot but not Tesla's.

Outside the very slim chance a tiny nation acts as a spoiler, I don't see this as resolving as Y, and don't plan on leaving anyone holding the bag on some weird technicality. Chat GPT chose an unrealistically bullish date.

@VerySeriousPoster I can see a small nation, meeting the Yes requirement. Will any country make you resolve to Yes, or do you exclude some countries?

@GazDownright Nah, every nation is on the table. If it's recognized by the UN as a member, or if the Great Arbiter of Truth (Wikipedia) describes it as a country, I'll count it. Which means that the Vatican, Singapore, Taiwan, and (most excitingly) Kosovo all count.

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