If a NATO country is attacked, will article 5 be respected?
57
675Ṁ2581resolved Jan 1
Resolved
N/A1H
6H
1D
1W
1M
ALL
Bound it the time frame to end of 2023.
Article 5 specifies that the allies will come to the defence of the attacked country. Will they really defend the attacked country?
Thinking in particular to ex-Soviet countries (eg. Estonia, Latvia, Lithuania).
Feb 25, 10:55am: Cyberattacks are not included because not recognized as "war attacks" so far.
Feb 25, 5:44pm: Good point made by @hamnox. If there no attack on a NATO country during this timeframe, the market will resolve to N/A. Opened another market to bet on the probability of an attack happening: https://manifold.markets/ValentinManes/will-a-nato-country-be-attacked
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