What is the next country to invoke NATO Article 5?
39
Ṁ1.6kṀ5.6k2029
48%
---NO ARTICLE 5 BEFORE 2030---
9%
9%
Romania
8%
Germany
6%
Poland
6%
United States of America
4%
Lithuania
4%
Estonia
3%
Finland
1.3%
Denmark
1.3%
Latvia
market for Article 4:
Update 2026-08-10 (PST) (AI summary of creator comment): - The trigger is defined as an official action.
If multiple countries trigger Article 5 at the same time, the market will split resolve between them.
This question is managed and resolved by Manifold.
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@Sqeedee trigger is an official action - we will know if some country was first or some did it at the same time. In the latter case, the resolution should split, i dont see other option
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