Will Article 4 of NATO be triggered before the end of 2026?
12
100Ṁ901
2027
15%
chance

Politics
World
Ukraine-Russia war
Geopolitics
Wars
Get
Ṁ1,000
to start trading!
Sort by:
bought Ṁ19 YES

I think Turkey may trigger it in relation to Iran and/or Kurds

People are also trading

Will Article 4 of NATO be triggered before the end of Trump's term?
+27% 1d74% chance
Will NATO article 5 (collective Defense) be instigated before the end of 2025?
5% chance
Will a NATO member send troops to Ukraine before 2026?
-3% 1d14% chance
Will USA leave NATO or refuse Article 5 by the end of 2025?
10% chance
Will any NATO member country invoke Article 4 by the end of 2030?
43% chance
Will NATO still exist by the end of 2025?
98% chance
Mutual defence clause of NATO triggered before 2026
4% chance
Will USA leave NATO by the end of 2026?
10% chance
Will any European country initiate withdrawal from NATO by the end of 2027?
9% chance
Which countries will be members of NATO at the end of 2026?
© Manifold Markets, Inc.•Terms•Privacy