Will Russia or North Korea honor their mutual defense pact if the other is attacked by a third party?
4
100Ṁ202
Jun 30
78%
chance

Resolution Criteria

  1. Definition: For this market, "honor" means providing direct military assistance, such as deploying troops or launching military strikes. It does not include providing munitions, technology, or training.

  2. Trigger Event: An official declaration or widely recognized military engagement by Russia or North Korea in response to a new conflict with a third party.

  3. Ukraine Clause: As the countries signed the defense pact after the Russian annexations and invasions of Ukraine, this conflict will not trigger resolutions of this market.

  4. Verification: Confirmation from reputable news sources or official government statements.

  5. Timeframe: Until Russia or North Korea are in a new armed conflict.

  6. Resolutions:

    • YES, if military assistance is provided.

    • NO, if no military assistance is provided.

Get
Ṁ1,000
to start trading!
© Manifold Markets, Inc.TermsPrivacy