Will Russia or North Korea honor their mutual defense pact if the other is attacked by a third party?
4
100Ṁ202
Sep 30
78%
chance

Resolution Criteria

  1. Ukraine Clause: As the countries signed the defense pact after the Russian annexations and invasions of Ukraine, this conflict will not trigger resolutions of this market.

  2. Definition: For this market, "honor" means providing direct military assistance, such as deploying troops or launching military strikes. It does not include providing munitions, technology, or training.

  3. Trigger Event: An official declaration or widely recognized military engagement by Russia or North Korea in response to a new conflict with a third party.

  4. Verification: Confirmation from reputable news sources or official government statements.

  5. Timeframe: Until Russia or North Korea are in a new armed conflict.

  6. Resolutions:

    • YES, if military assistance is provided.

    • NO, if no military assistance is provided.

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I updated the description to specify that the Ukraine conflict does not factor into the resolution of this market.

This market will run until it meets the YES or NO criteria.

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