If @Tumbles is late to pay back a loan, will Canada enter a recession? (2024)
0.2%
Tumbles is never late, Canada enters a recession.
0.2%
Tumbles is never late, Canada does not enter a recession.
0.1%
Tumbles is late, Canada enters a recession.
99.5%
Tumbles is late, Canada does not enter a recession.

@Tumbles is Canadian.

The recession part resolves YES if the C.D. Howe Institute's Business Cycle Council declares that a recession happened during 2024. They have until 2026 to do so.

The part about Tumbles' financial status resolves based on this market. If that market resolves NO and a similar market replaces it, the replacement will also be considered.

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