Movies nominated for Best Picture that grossed over $100 million:

'Avatar: The Way of Water'

'Elvis'

'Everything Everywhere All at Once'

'Top Gun: Maverick'

Movies nominated for Best Picture that did not gross over $100 million:

'All Quiet on the Western Front'

'The Banshees of Inisherin'

'The Fabelmans'

'Tár'

'Triangle of Sadness'

'Women Talking'

If the Oscar for Best Picture at the 95th Academy Awards goes to one of the movies that grossed over $100 million, this market will resolve to YES.