On March 10th ("Mar10 day"), 2024, Nintendo announced a sequel to The Super Mario Bros. Movie (2023), with a planned release date of April 3rd, 2026: https://www.nintendo.co.jp/corporate/release/en/2024/240310.html

The Super Mario Bros. Movie (2023) had a take of $1,361,972,248 worldwide at the box office, according to Box Office Mojo at the time of market creation: https://www.boxofficemojo.com/title/tt6718170/

If, by the end of the initial run of the sequel to The Super Mario Bros. Movie, it has not grossed more than $1,000,000,000 worldwide according to Box Office Mojo, this market will resolve NO.

If it grosses more worldwide than the first film according to Box Office Mojo's numbers, this market will resolve YES.