Will the SpaceX Starship successfully deorbit and land softly in the ocean on the first launch attempt?
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resolved Apr 20
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Resolves to Yes if the Starship performs a controlled hover ~<250m above the ocean surface.
Resolves to No if the ship is lost at any earlier point in the launch.
Resolves to Undecided/Invalid if SpaceX decides not to attempt the soft landing.
Close date updated to 2023-12-31 4:00 pm
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@Mqrius Agreed, scrub doesn't count as a launch, but if it explodes on the pad during a launch attempt I'll cal that a failure.
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