Will Neuralink be available for people without a disability in the US by 2035?
64
1kṀ27692035
59%
chance
1D
1W
1M
ALL
Put another way, will Neuralink be available as a body modification alongside being a treatment?
For simplicity, just considering the US here. Will resolve yes if there's a straightforward way to sign up for and have a Neuralink system installed without needing to prove having a medical condition.
This question is managed and resolved by Manifold.
Get
1,000 to start trading!
1,000Sort by:
@strutheo Not a perfect arb, covered by insurance in the quagmire that is the US medical battlefield is definitely a different question
Related questions
Related questions
Will Neuralink or similar tech be covered by a mainstream consumer available USA insurance plan by the end of 2035?
17% chance
Will Neuralink be used for reparative therapy before the end of 2035?
87% chance
Will Neuralink successfully enable a blind person to see again using its technology by 2030?
86% chance
Will Neuralink release a mass market commercial neural implant by 2030?
25% chance
Will Neuralink successfully enable a paralyzed person to walk again using its technology by 2030?
61% chance
Will Neuralink successfully enable telepathy using its technology by 2030?
65% chance
Will I personally know someone with a Neuralink or other brain chip implant by the end of 2032?
25% chance
Will there be more than 200 people with a neuralink by August 2027?
44% chance
When will Neuralink implant the first chip to cure blindness in a person?
Do implanted brain-computer interfaces get put in anyone for reasons other than a medical treatment by 2026?
22% chance