Will there be more than 200 people with a neuralink by August 2027?
Basic
3
Ṁ802027
44%
chance
1D
1W
1M
ALL
Elon musk( https://x.com/elonmusk/status/1826409318578565326):
Update about the second Neuralink device in a human.
If all goes well, there will be hundreds of people with Neuralinks within a few years, maybe tens of thousands within 5 years, millions within 10 years, …
Let's see if that first prediction comes through. Hundreds I figure has to be at least 200, and a few years should be more than two and less than 5 (since Elon gives a separate prediction for 5 years), hence there 3 year prediction in the title
This question is managed and resolved by Manifold.
Get
1,000
and3.00
Related questions
Related questions
Will Neuralink implant its device in five or more patients before the end of 2024?
8% chance
Will Neuralink be available for people without a disability in the US by 2035?
59% chance
Will Elon Musk put a Neuralink chip in his brain before 2030?
21% chance
When will be the first year that 10,000 people receive Neuralink brain implants?
Will I personally know someone with a Neuralink or other brain chip implant by the end of 2032?
25% chance
Will Neuralink showcase a monkey on stage by the end of 2024?
7% chance
Will Neuralink successfully enable telepathy using its technology by 2030?
64% chance
Will Neuralink successfully enable a blind person to see again using its technology by 2030?
79% chance
Will Neuralink successfully enable a paralyzed person to walk again using its technology by 2030?
41% chance
100+ people regain mobility using a Neuralink device by mid 2027
47% chance