Will I personally know someone with a Neuralink or other brain chip implant by the end of 2032?
Will I personally know someone with a Neuralink or other brain chip implant by the end of 2032?
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bought Ṁ30 NO11mo
I made the mistake of using my main gmail account for my manifold account and recently followed strutheo. Now my Gmails are constantly being bombed by strutheos markets D:
Anyway cool market
@Jony haha, you should disable all emails, idk why they even have those notifications on by default, here is how

@nsokolsky I expect chris not to do that, but ig it's worth asking chris, do you intend to make this happen, or is the purpose of this market to predict whether you'll stumble into that situation
@nsokolsky no it has to be organic,i wont be doing anything out of the ordinary to resolve this market.
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Related questions
What is this?
What is Manifold?
Manifold is the world's largest social prediction market.
Get accurate real-time odds on politics, tech, sports, and more.
Or create your own play-money betting market on any question you care about.
Are our predictions accurate?
Yes! Manifold is very well calibrated, with forecasts on average within 4 percentage points of the true probability. Our probabilities are created by users buying and selling shares of a market.
In the 2022 US midterm elections, we outperformed all other prediction market platforms and were in line with FiveThirtyEight’s performance. Many people who don't like betting still use Manifold to get reliable news.
Why use play money?
Mana (Ṁ) is the play-money currency used to bet on Manifold. It cannot be converted to cash. All users start with Ṁ1,000 for free.
Play money means it's much easier for anyone anywhere in the world to get started and try out forecasting without any risk. It also means there's more freedom to create and bet on any type of question.
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