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MANIFOLD
Will Neuralink successfully enable a paralyzed person to walk again using its technology by 2030?
97
Ṁ1.1kṀ16k
2030
55%
chance

Resolves Yes if there's credible news coverage of a Neuralink patient regaining the ability to walk using Neuralink's tech.

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I am mystified how this stays so low, but I am at maximum exposure, but tempted to adjust my hard limit for exposure.

@JussiVilleHeiskanen Why do you think it should be higher? So far they focused on rather basic BCIs, allowing control of external devices. Legs are very hard compared to what they have so far and it took them almost 10 years to get here.

@ProjectVictory I understand the logic of NO position holders better, thank you.

Define "walk"

@RemNi Regained motor control of legs via implant bridge or mechanical legs that can be 100% controlled by the implant.

bought Ṁ45 YES

If the leg were to be mechanic it would still count right?

@patrik Even if it's not manufactured by neuralink...

@patrik Not that someone is that likely to be both paralyzed and without legs but still.

@patrik Yes, if neuralink interfaces with mechanical legs that enable a person to walk again this will resolve yes

If Neuralink is renamed, would the new name count?