What will the composition of the Israeli Knesset be after the next election?
8
22
resolved Nov 11
27%19%
Likud
20%15%
Yesh Atid
12%7%
Religious Zionist Party
10%7%
Blue and White
9%4%
Shas
6%3%
Yahadut Hatorah
5%3%
Yisrael Beiteinu
4%1.8%
Hadash-Ta'al
4%1.8%
Ra'am
3%26%
Labor
1.3%
Yamina
3%
Meretz

I'll choose each answer with a party that won seats with the percentage of Knesset seats that they won.

Get Ṁ200 play money

🏅 Top traders

#NameTotal profit
1Ṁ68
2Ṁ21
3Ṁ16
4Ṁ5
Sort by:

Below is how I am resolving this market. I can only do whole percentages, so for all the options I will be rounding to the nearest percent (luckily the rounding still keeps the percentages summing to 100%). If I made any mistake, please let me know and I will compensate all affected traders.

Likud: 32/120 -> 27

Yesh Atid: 24/120 -> 20

Religious Zionist Party: 14/120 -> 12

National Unity: 12/120 -> 10, will be given to Blue and White as it is the largest component of National Unity and neither National Unity nor any of the other components were put as options

Shas: 11/120 -> 9

Yahadut Hatorah: 7/120 -> 6

Yisrael Beytenu: 6/120 -> 5

Ra'am: 5/120 -> 4

Hadash-Ta'al: 5/120 -> 4

Labor: 4/120 -> 3

@TomShlomi Possible correction: I was able to just add the number of seats each party won when resolving, but Manifold shows the rounded percentages. I'm not sure if it's only rounding in the UX or not.

Sorry this is taking a while to resolve, I'm waiting for the official results which should be out by Wednesday.