Will the AI Safety Summit host in UK lead to the creation of an International Institution for the AI Governance?
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resolved Nov 30
Resolved
NO

https://www.gov.uk/government/news/iconic-bletchley-park-to-host-uk-ai-safety-summit-in-early-november?t=cF5Y5EqhcaoZUh6H5BBzvA&s=09

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What counts as "lead to?" This seems rather vaguely defined.

I see the most likely scenario being this somewhat accelerates processes that would likely happen otherwise and end up creating an international AI governance institution, in which case this maybe led to that?

predicted NO

If the conclusions of the discussions clearly state that this is an objective or a shared desire, and that things are then put in place, then it will be resolved "Yes".

bought Ṁ10 of NO

Looks more like UK promo to me than an honest attempt to improve something.

bought Ṁ5 of YES

@marktweise That doesn’t prevent them from creating some new institution though

predicted NO

@mariopasquato Well, it says „international“ institution. Currently that is too vague for me to bet on it.

predicted YES

@marktweise Idk to extend from UK to commonwealth it’s easy

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