From: https://x.com/_ArnaudS_/status/1793209848953233872.
"Will "AI safety" be considered a coherent movement with leaders and an agenda vs a descriptor for some cluster of skills/techniques that some within AI-focused companies are familiar with?"
Resolves YES if there is indeed a coherent movement with the agenda of AI Notkilleveryoneism. It must have at least one identifiable leader figure, and an agenda. It need not still have the name "AI Safety" but it must remain relevant.
Resolves NO if this is no longer the case, meaning that when people think of how we prevent AI from killing everyone, they think about technical techniques within AI companies, or similar.
Only situation at resolution matters, not what happens before that.
If this market sustains sufficient interest I may attempt to clarify the criteria further, but for I am going to leave it there in the interests of time.