Will the US create an antitrust safe harbor for AI safety & security collaboration by 2028? | Manifold

Will the US create an antitrust safe harbor for AI safety & security collaboration by 2028?

1

Ṁ70Ṁ10

2028

41%

chance

1H

6H

1D

1W

1M

ALL

This market will resolve to yes if the US creates a policy by 2028 that establishes a harbor for AI safety and security collaboration. The policy should allow frontier-model developers to collaborate on AI safety and security work without violating antitrust rules.

Luke Muehlhauser from Open Philanthropy suggests this idea in his April 2023 post, "12 tentative ideas for US AI policy." This market idea was proposed by Michael Chen.

Market context

Open Philanthropy: 12 Tenative Ideas for US AI Policy

Get

1,000

to start trading!

People are also trading

Will the US establish a clear AI developer liability framework for AI harms by 2028?

[ACX 2026] Will the U.S. enact an AI safety federal statute or executive order in 2026?

Will the US fund defensive information security R&D for limiting unintended proliferation of dangerous AI models by 2028

Will the US require a license to develop frontier AI models by 2028?

Will the US implement software export controls for frontier AI models by 2028?

Will the US implement AI incident reporting requirements by 2028?

By end of 2028, will there be a global AI organization, responsible for AI safety and regulations?

Will the US implement information security requirements for frontier AI models by 2028?

Will a regulatory body modeled on the FDA regulate AI in the US by the end of 2027?

Will the US implement testing and evaluation requirements for frontier AI models by 2028?

Related questions

Will the US establish a clear AI developer liability framework for AI harms by 2028?

[ACX 2026] Will the U.S. enact an AI safety federal statute or executive order in 2026?

Will the US fund defensive information security R&D for limiting unintended proliferation of dangerous AI models by 2028

Will the US require a license to develop frontier AI models by 2028?

Will the US implement software export controls for frontier AI models by 2028?

Will the US implement AI incident reporting requirements by 2028?

By end of 2028, will there be a global AI organization, responsible for AI safety and regulations?

Will the US implement information security requirements for frontier AI models by 2028?

Will a regulatory body modeled on the FDA regulate AI in the US by the end of 2027?

Will the US implement testing and evaluation requirements for frontier AI models by 2028?

© Manifold Markets, Inc.•Terms•Privacy