In the 2025 German federal election, what percentage of the popular vote will AfD receive?
23
100Ṁ1794
resolved Feb 27
Resolved
NO
<10%
Resolved
YES
>10% but <25%
Resolved
NO
>25% but <50%
Resolved
NO
>=50%

In 2021, the Alternative for Germany (German: Alternative für Deutschland, AfD) party in Germany received 4,809,228 votes from a total of 46,298,338 registered voters who voted in the federal election for members of the 20th Bundestag, or around 10.4% of the popular vote. This question asks: what percentage will be received in the 2025 federal election for AfD?

This question will be resolved 48 hours after DW News and the German Federal Returning Officer publish the election results.

N̶o̶t̶e̶:̶ C̶u̶r̶r̶e̶n̶t̶l̶y̶, t̶h̶e̶ e̶l̶e̶c̶t̶i̶o̶n̶ f̶o̶r̶ t̶h̶e̶ 2̶1̶s̶t̶ G̶e̶r̶m̶a̶n̶ B̶u̶n̶d̶e̶s̶t̶a̶g̶ i̶s̶ s̶c̶h̶e̶d̶u̶l̶e̶d̶ f̶o̶r̶ 2̶8̶ S̶e̶p̶t̶e̶m̶b̶e̶r̶ 2̶0̶2̶5̶. H̶o̶w̶e̶v̶e̶r̶, d̶u̶e̶ t̶o̶ r̶e̶c̶e̶n̶t̶ p̶o̶l̶i̶t̶i̶c̶a̶l̶ e̶v̶e̶n̶t̶s̶, t̶h̶e̶ e̶l̶e̶c̶t̶i̶o̶n̶ c̶o̶u̶l̶d̶ n̶o̶w̶ t̶a̶k̶e̶ p̶l̶a̶c̶e̶ i̶n̶ M̶a̶r̶c̶h̶ 2̶0̶2̶5̶.
Update: The election is now scheduled for 23 February 2025.

Get
Ṁ1,000
to start trading!

🏅 Top traders

#NameTotal profit
1Ṁ50
2Ṁ37
3Ṁ32
4Ṁ19
5Ṁ13
Sort by:

This question will resolve in 24 hours for the >10% but <25% option, unless reports from DW News or the German Federal Returning Officer get updated (both currently report the AfD vote share as ~20%.

© Manifold Markets, Inc.Terms + Mana-only TermsPrivacyRules