This question will be determined with this: https://apnews.com/projects/trump-campaign-promise-tracker/

Check it out! This market will resolve yes if all of these are kept or in progress or it's complicated. Those promises that he said that would need to occur in a year won't count against him. If you have questions please comment.

Considerations

• Many of Trump's promises would require Congressional approval or face potential legal challenges, which could impact the timeline and extent of implementation

• Historical precedent shows that presidents typically achieve their highest rate of promise fulfillment during their first 100 days in office

• Some promises, like ending the Russia-Ukraine war or implementing mass deportations, may face significant practical and logistical challenges beyond political opposition.

• Update 2025-02-22 (PST) (AI summary of creator comment): Updated Resolution Criteria:

  • 100-day benchmark: If, at the end of Trump's first 100 days in office, the war between Russia and Ukraine continues, the promise to settle the conflict will be considered unfulfilled (market resolves to no).