This market resolves based on whether by July 14, 2024 at least 2 major US news media outlets (see list below) publish articles reporting on Rudyard Lynch's ('Whatifathis') prediction of the US collapsing into a new civil war in 2024.

Resolution will be based on whether any of these media outlets publish articles in their online editions.

Threshold for 'YES' resolution is the publication of articles that feature Rudyard and his prediction as the primary story being reported in the article. In other words, if there are only articles that mention Rudyard or Whatifalthist as an example, but are not primarily about Rudyard , then that will resolve to 'NO'.

BACKGROUND:

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On the Moment of Zen podcast episode March 9, 2024 with hosts Eric Torenberg and Dan Romero, YouTuber Rudyard Lynch ('Whatifalthist') predicts that the US will collapse into a civil war or revolution by the November election.

https://www.youtube.com/clip/UgkxKt9cRMlQEBmTnEJONweTfn4oggXQL6ZH

21:19-21:35

RUDYARD: "I believe America... and I've made like six videos on this... I think America will have a civil war or a revolution in the next year... I said actually that I think it'll happen by the 2024 election and I say these things so that you know I'm not a charlatan...and if I'm wrong I'm wrong."

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Rudyard has recently made similarly sensational predictions on his YouTube channel 'Whatifalthist':

https://youtube.com/clip/UgkxPoJbvitEV49EAvqFQo1lyoxnxPlwLNkD?feature=shared

1:23-1:37

RUDYARD: "I don't think American society can make it through the 2024 election without collapsing into Civil War. We might not even have that much time if I'm being honest."

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MAJOR US NEWS MEDIA OUTLETS

https://en.wikipedia.org/wiki/News_media_in_the_United_States

ABC News

CBS News

CNN

Fox News Channel

MSNBC

NBC News

The New York Times

USA Today

The Wall Street Journal

The Washington Post

Politico

Bloomberg

Vice News

HBO

HuffPost

TMZ

CNET

NPR

The Hollywood Reporter

Newsweek

The New Yorker

Time

U.S. News & World Report