
Will there be major social unrest in the USA by July 2025?
146
1kแน40kresolved Jul 1
Resolved
NO1H
6H
1D
1W
1M
ALL
Will there be some form of major social unrest in the USA by July 2025? Examples that would lead to a YES resolution include:
Widespread rioting leading to double-digit deaths
Armed insurrection
The January 6th insurrection
Organized terrorism
Things which would not count:
An assassination attempt perpetrated by a "lone wolf"
Generally speaking, isolated incidents of social unrest.
Due to the qualitative nature of the decision, I will not bet in this market.
Update 2025-06-02 (PST) (AI summary of creator comment): The creator specified their interpretation of organized terrorism for this market:
An act of terror committed by an organized terrorist cell composed of 3+ individuals.
An act of terror backed by a state.
This question is managed and resolved by Manifold.
Get
1,000 to start trading!
๐ Top traders
# | Name | Total profit |
---|---|---|
1 | แน3,532 | |
2 | แน449 | |
3 | แน274 | |
4 | แน270 | |
5 | แน259 |
People are also trading
Related questions
Will there be a major blackout in the US between June 22, 2025, and July 1, 2025?
2% chance
Will 20+ people die in anti-Trump protests in 2025?
17% chance
Will any one of these Inflation, Recession, Social unrest (more) happen in 2025?
60% chance
Will there be any lynchings in the USA by the end of 2025?
8% chance
Will the UK (excluding Northern Ireland) experience major riots in 2025, similar to 2024? (V2)
33% chance
Will there be a nuclear explosion in USA in 2025?
2% chance
Will the US undergo a major political crisis before 2027
55% chance
Will There be a Civil War or Violent Revolution in USA by 2030?
19% chance
Will there be a violent revolution or Civil war in America by 2100?
56% chance
Will there be a major change to the US political system by the end of 2035?
73% chance