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MANIFOLD
Will this party win the next UK general election? × Will the UK apply to join the EU in the five years after?
2
Ṁ275Ṁ587
2031
6%
Green, Yes
7%
Green, No
7%
Labour, Yes
19%
Labour, No
7%
Reform, Yes
30%
Reform, No
7%
Conservatives, Yes
7%
Conservatives, No
1%
Liberal Democrats, Yes
1%
Liberal Democrats, No
7%
Other

Win = the PM after the next election is from that party

Market context
Elections
UK
UK Politics
Democratic Party
Elections: World
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@Tetraspace trades in market,

market breaks,

…

Tetra profits.

Oh no, manifold @mods is broken. 😕

edit: I can bet in other markets on Manifold.

bought Ṁ1 YES

@AlanTennant sorry i can't follow what's the issue? i tried placing a trade here and it seemed to work. are you unable to place a trade?

High volume of requests, try again later?

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Which two parties will get the most seats in Parliament following the next UK general election after 2025?
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25% chance
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If this party has the most or second most seats after the next UK general election, will they have the most?