What will be log(deaths) from the MV Hondius hantavirus outbreak by the end of 2027?
18
Ṁ175Ṁ1.2k2027
0.51 log(deaths)
expected1H
6H
1D
1W
1M
ALL
19%
Above 1
7%
Above 2
5%
Above 3
4%
Above 4
3%
Above 5
2%
Above 6
1%
Above 7
Resolves at the log base 10 of the number of deaths caused by the
MV Hondius hantavirus outbreak, as estimated at the end of 2027, according to the average log of values that
• meet the sourcing standards of Wikipedia
• made it into the infobox without looking to me like they were put there to influence a prediction market
• report an estimate of the total number of deaths
This question is managed and resolved by Manifold.
Market context
Get
1,000 to start trading!
People are also trading
Related questions
Will at least 1 non-passenger get hantavirus from the MV Hondius outbreak?
23% chance
More than 2000 suspected deaths due to the Ebola outbreak by the end of 2026?
30% chance
Last confirmed case of the Andes virus (hantavirus) linked to MV Hondius outbreak
6/2/26
What will happen related to the Hantavirus in 2026?
Will the origin of the MV Hondius hantavirus outbreak be revealed to be from rats on the ship itself?
11% chance
Hantavirus pandemic in 2026? [Polymarket]
3% chance
Hantavirus Pandemic 2026-2027?
8% chance
Will Hantavirus become a pandemic in 2026?
4% chance
Hentavirus pandemic in 2026?
4% chance
Will WHO classify the current hantavirus outbreak as a Public Health Emergency of International Concern by end of 2026?
8% chance