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MANIFOLD
What will happen related to the Hantavirus in 2026?
10
Ṁ350Ṁ834
Dec 31
27%
A specific Hantavirus strain is classified as a Public Health Emergency of International Concern
24%
A human-to-human transmission event in the US is confirmed by the CDC
24%
A vaccine for Hantavirus enters Phase 3 clinical trials
24%
At least 1,000 deaths are reported
22%
At least 1,000 cases are detected
14%
An effective antiviral treatment for Hantavirus is approved by the FDA
10%
At least 5,000 cases are detected
10%
At least 10,000 cases are detected
10%
A major sports league shuts down its operations
7%
U.S. schools shift to distance learning
5%
At least 5,000 deaths are reported
4%
Hantavirus is declared a pandemic by the WHO
3%
The mortality rate of a Hantavirus outbreak exceeds 20% in a single country
3%
At least 10,000 deaths are reported

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There are many hantaviruses. Does "the Hantavirus" refer to the specific Andes virus strain that caused the MV Hondis outbreak or does any member of the Orthohantavirus genus (or even the whole Hantaviridae family) count?

opened a Ṁ100 NO at 24% order

@AIBear This matters because fpr the Hantaan virus alone "9,000–12,000 cases occur each year in China" (https://en.wikipedia.org/wiki/Hantaan_virus) and there is an approved vaccine and few others in the pipeline for some hantaviruses other than the Andes virus.

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